Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.547570 0.604161 0.665140 0.735904 0.815974 0.904007 1.008447
2025-10-19 0.457971 0.536399 0.627271 0.741078 0.880815 1.048108 1.265534
2025-10-26 0.405914 0.494533 0.602304 0.744477 0.929288 1.164438 1.491235
2025-11-02 0.370275 0.465464 0.585804 0.751427 0.977135 1.279471 1.724636
2025-11-09 0.333767 0.430195 0.555960 0.735124 0.989002 1.344054 1.893298
2025-11-16 0.312177 0.411750 0.545425 0.742118 1.031355 1.453002 2.137558
2025-11-23 0.289915 0.390007 0.527763 0.736243 1.052963 1.532061 2.344647
2025-11-30 0.273857 0.375293 0.518211 0.740375 1.088626 1.634721 2.601805
2025-12-07 0.255741 0.356078 0.500332 0.729849 1.099649 1.698327 2.800482
2025-12-14 0.239896 0.338930 0.483988 0.719832 1.109744 1.760346 3.003528
2025-12-21 0.221852 0.317260 0.459194 0.694182 1.091236 1.771048 3.112455
2025-12-28 0.215415 0.312639 0.460046 0.709608 1.142836 1.908908 3.483351
2026-01-04 0.208124 0.306382 0.458117 0.720653 1.188656 2.043145 3.872717
2026-01-11 0.200055 0.298399 0.452869 0.725620 1.224131 2.162454 4.252398
2026-01-18 0.192351 0.290465 0.447061 0.728936 1.256561 2.279263 4.646665
2026-01-25 0.185932 0.284179 0.443474 0.735711 1.295887 2.414204 5.106600
2026-02-01 0.175889 0.271356 0.428048 0.719819 1.289662 2.454251 5.347904
2026-02-08 0.170580 0.266094 0.425154 0.726637 1.328826 2.594939 5.864767
2026-02-15 0.163551 0.257534 0.415987 0.720909 1.341860 2.679965 6.254995
2026-02-22 0.158581 0.252205 0.412138 0.724937 1.375317 2.814770 6.806479
2026-03-01 0.151740 0.243290 0.401365 0.714675 1.377410 2.877185 7.168648
2026-03-08 0.145419 0.234979 0.391221 0.704909 1.379618 2.940082 7.545804
2026-03-15 0.137302 0.223140 0.374036 0.679899 1.346016 2.911954 7.643528